Wednesday 4 May 2011

Battlegrounds 2011 : Others

As I am not expecting the Others (Ind, Green, UKIP, BNP or Others) to win any constituencies in Scotland or Wales, this battleground refers to the English local elections only

Defence Battleground
Target Battleground
Number
Name
Majority (seats)
Name
Seats to GAIN
1
West Somerset
1
Eden
Ind 1
2
Epsom and Ewell
12
Richmondshire
Ind 3
3
Mansfield
12
Castle Point
Ind 5
4
Boston
12
Ashfield
Ind 5
5


Torridge
Ind 6
6


West Devon
Ind 6
7


Norwich
Greens 6
8


Mid Devon
Ind 7
9


Craven
Ind 8
10


South Holland
Ind 8
11


North Kesteven
Ind 8
12


Fylde
Ind 8

As you can see it is mostly the Independents who hope to do well (perhaps from a sense of "a plague on all your houses") but I would like to pay particular attention to two councils. First, Epsom and Ewell in Surrey. It may elect a Conservative MP, it may rank up huge Conservative votes in the Euros, but the local council is controlled by the Ratepayers Association (who some people call the orginal Independents". Will they be able to hold on? The other council to note is Norwich where the Greens will be challenging to take control of their first ever council. In the Norwich constituencies (that cover the city council boundaries) the voting was: Con 31% Lab 30% Lib Dem 24% Green 9% UKIP 3% BNP 2%. Will dissatification with the coalition government give the Greens the boost they need to pick up the six gains needed to win? We have less than 24 hours to find out.

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