GE2010: North West

Here is a summary of our North West predictions. If you'd like to find out more about the 'Look @' format follow this link. If you'd like to see how we arrived at any predictions then click on the 'County' link and it will take you to the post discussing that constituency.

Party	BV	Actual
CON	26	22
LAB	38	47
LD	11	6

 

Constituency	County/Council	Current MP		Prediction	Actual
Congleton	Cheshire East	Ann Winterton		CON Hold	CON Hold
Crewe & Nantwich	Cheshire East	Edward Timpson		CON Gain	CON Gain
Macclesfield	Cheshire East	Nicholas Winterton		CON Hold	CON Hold
Tatton	Cheshire East and C'shire W & C	George Osbourne		CON Hold	CON Hold
City of Chester	Cheshire West and Chester	Christine Russell		CON Gain	CON Gain
Eddisbury	Cheshire West and Chester	Stephen O'Brien		CON Hold	CON Hold
Ellesmere Port & Neston	Cheshire West and Chester	Andrew Miller		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Weaver Vale	Cheshire W & C and Hatlton	Mike Hall		CON Gain	CON Gain
Halton	Halton	Derek Twigg		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Warrington North	Warrington	Helen Jones		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Warrington South	Warrington	Helen Southworth		LD Gain	CON Gain
Barrow in Furness	Cumbria	John Hutton		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Carlisle	Cumbria	Eric Martlew		CON Gain	CON Gain
Copeland	Cumbria	Jamie Reed		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Penrith & The Border	Cumbria	David MacLean		CON Hold	CON Hold
Westmorland & Lonsdale	Cumbria	Tim Farron		LD Hold	LD Hold
Workington	Cumbria	Tony Cunningham		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Blackburn	Lancashire	Jack Straw		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Blackpool North & Cheveley	Lancashire	Joan Humble		CON Gain	CON Gain
Blackpool South	Lancashire	Gordon Marsden		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Burnley	Lancashire	Kitty Usher		LD Gain	LD Gain
Chorley	Lancashire	Lindsay Hoyle		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Fylde	Lancashire	Michael Jack		CON Hold	CON Hold
Hyndburn	Lancashire	Greg Pope		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Lancaster & Fleetwood	Lancashire	Ben Wallace		CON Gain	CON Gain
Morecambe & Lunesdale	Lancashire	Geraldine Smith		CON Gain	CON Gain
Pendle	Lancashire	Gordon Prentice		CON Gain	CON Gain
Preston	Lancashire	Mark Hendrick		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Ribble Valley	Lancashire	Nigel Evans		CON Hold	CON Hold
Rossendale & Darwen	Lancashire	Janet Anderson		CON Gain	CON Gain
South Ribble	Lancashire	David Borrow		CON Gain	CON Gain
West Lancashire	Lancashire	Rosie Cooper		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Wyre & Preston North	Lancashire			CON Hold	CON Hold
Bury North	Bury	David Chaytor		CON Gain	CON Gain
Bury South	Bury	Ivan Lewis		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Heywood & Middleton	Rochdale	Jim Dobbin		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Rochdale	Rochdale	Paul Rowen		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Bolton North East	Bolton	David Crausby		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Bolton South East	Bolton	Brian Iddon		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Bolton West	Bolton	Ruth Kelly		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Leigh	Wigan	Andy Burnham		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Makerfield	Wigan	Ian McCartney		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wigan	Wigan	Neil Turner		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Altrincham & Sale West	Trafford	Graham Brady		CON Hold	CON Hold
Stretford & Urmston	Trafford	Beverley Hughes		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wythenshawe & Sale East	Manchester and Trafford	Paul Goggins		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Manchester Central	Manchester	Tony Lloyd		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Manchester Gorton	Manchester	Gerald Kaufman		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Manchester Withington	Manchester	John Leech		LD Hold	LD Hold
Blackley & Broughton	Manchester and Salford	Graham Stringer		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Salford & Eccles	Salford	Hazel Blears		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Worsley & Eccles South	Salford	Barbara Keeley		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Cheadle	Stockport	Mark Hunter		LD Hold	LD Hold
Hazel Grove	Stockport	Andrew Stunell		LD Hold	LD Hold
Stockport	Stockport	Ann Coffey		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Denton & Reddish	Tameside and Stockport	Andrew Gwynne		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Stalybridge & Hyde	Tameside	Jim Purnell		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Ashton-under-Lyme	Tameside and Oldham	David Heyes		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Oldham East & Saddleworth	Oldham	Phil Woolas		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Oldham West & Royton	Oldham	Michael Meacher		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Liverpool Riverside	Liverpool	Louise Ellman		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Liverpool Walton	Liverpool	Peter Kilfoyle		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Liverpool Wavertree	Liverpool	Jane Kennedy		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Liverpool West Derby	Liverpool	Robert Wareing		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Garston & Halewood	Liverpool & Knowsley	Maria Eagle		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Knowsley	Knowsley	Edward O'Hara		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
St. Helens South & Whiston	St Helens & Knowsley	Shaun Woodward		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
St. Helens North	St Helens	Dave Watts		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Bootle	Sefton	Joe Benton		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Sefton Central	Sefton	Claire Curtus-Thomas		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Southport	Sefton	John Pugh		LD Hold	LD Hold
Birkenhead	Wirral	Frank Field		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wallasey	Wirral	Angela Eagle		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wirral South	Wirral	Ben Chapman		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Wirral West	Wirral	Stephen Hesford		CON Gain	CON Gain

 

Nb. Edward Simpson won his Crewe & Nantwich seat from Labour in a 2008 by-election. Robert Wareing was elected as a Labour MP but resigned the party whip in 2007. In Lancaster & Fleetwood the boundary changes switched the 2005 notional winner from the Conservatives to Labour. In Rochdale the boundary changes switched the 2005 notional winner from the Liberal Democrats to Labour.