GE2010: Midlands

Here is a summary of our Midlands predictions. If you'd like to find out more about the 'Look @' format follow this link. If you'd like to see how we arrived at any predictions then click on the 'County' link and it will take you to the post discussing that constituency.

West Midlands
Party	BV	Actual
CON	31	33
LAB	20	24
LD	7	2
IND	1	0

 

East Midlands
Party	BV	Actual
CON	31	31
LAB	11	15
LD	4	0

 

West Midlands
Constituency	Council	Incumbent		Prediction	Actual
Edgbaston	Birmingham	Gilsela Stuart		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Erdington	Birmingham	Sion Simon		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Hall Green	Birmingham			LD Gain	LAB Hold
Hodge Hill	Birmingham	Liam Byrne		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Ladywood	Birmingham	Clare Short*		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Northfield	Birmingham	Richard Burden		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Perry Barr	Birmingham	Khalid Mahmood		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Selly Oak	Birmingham	Stephen McCabe		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Yardley	Birmingham	John Hemming		LD Hold	LD Hold
Coventry North East	Coventry	Bob Ainsworth		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Coventry North West	Coventry	Geoffrey Robinson		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Coventry South	Coventry	Jim Cunningham		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Meriden	Solihull	Caroline Spelman		CON Hold	CON Hold
Solihull	Solihull	Lorely Burt**		LD Gain	LD Gain
Dudley North	Dudley	Ian Austin		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Dudley South	Dudley	Ian Pearson		CON Gain	CON Gain
Stourbridge	Dudley	Lynda Waltho		CON Gain	CON Gain
Halesowen & Rowley Regis	Dudley & Sandwell	Sylvia Heal		CON Gain	CON Gain
Warley	Sandwell	John Spellar		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
West Bromwich East	Sandwell	Tom Watson		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
West Bromwich West	Sandwell	Adrian Bailey		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wolverhampton North East	Wolverhampton	Ken Purchase		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wolverhampton South East	Wolverhampton	Patrick McFadden		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Wolverhampton South West	Wolverhampton	Rob Marris		CON Gain	CON Gain
Sutton Coldfield	Walsall	Andrew Mitchell		CON Hold	CON Hold
Aldridge-Brownhills	Walsall	Richard Shepard		CON Hold	CON Hold
Walsall North	Walsall	David Winnick		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Walsall South	Walsall	Bruce George		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Hereford & H'shire South	Herefordshire	Paul Keetch		LD Hold	CON Gain
Herefordshire North	Herefordshire	Bill Wiggin		CON Hold	CON Hold
Ludlow	Shropshire	Philip Dunne		LD Gain	CON Hold
Shrewsbury & Atcham	Shropshire	Daniel Kawczynski		CON Hold	CON Hold
Shropshire North	Shropshire	Owen Paterson		CON Hold	CON Hold
Telford	Shropshire	David Wright		CON Gain	LAB Hold
The Wrekin	Shropshire	Mark Pritchard		CON Hold	CON Hold
Burton	Staffordshire	Janet Dean		CON Gain	CON Gain
Cannock Chase	Staffordshire	Tony Wright		LAB Hold	CON Gain
Lichfield	Staffordshire	Michael Fabricant		CON Hold	CON Hold
Newcastle-Under-Lyme	Staffordshire	Paul Farrelly		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Stafford	Staffordshire	David Kidney		CON Gain	CON Gain
Staffordshire Moorlands	Staffordshire	Charlotte Atkins		CON Hold	CON Hold
Staffordshire South	Staffordshire	Patrick Cormack		CON Hold	CON Hold
Stoke-On-Trent Central	Staffordshire	Mark Fisher		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Stoke-On-Trent North	Staffordshire	Joan Walley		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Stoke-On-Trent South	Staffordshire	Robert Fiello		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Stone	Staffordshire	William Cash		CON Hold	CON Hold
Tamworth	Staffordshire	Brian Jenkins		CON Gain	CON Gain
Kenilworth & Southam	Warwickshire			CON Hold	CON Hold
Nuneaton	Warwickshire	Bill Olner		CON Gain	CON Gain
Rugby	Warwickshire	Jeremy Wright		CON Hold	CON Hold
Stratford-on-Avon	Warwickshire	John Maples		CON Hold	CON Hold
Warwick & Leamington	Warwickshire	James Plaskitt		CON Gain	CON Gain
Warwickshire North	Warwickshire	Mike O'Brien		LAB Hold	CON Gain
Bromsgrove	Worcestershire	Julie Kirkbride		CON Hold	CON Hold
Redditch	Worcestershire	Jacqui Smith		CON Gain	CON Gain
Worcester	Worcestershire	Michael Foster		CON Gain	CON Gain
Worcestershire Mid	Worcestershire	Peter Luff		CON Hold	CON Hold
Worcester West	Worcestershire	Michael Spicer		LD Gain	CON Hold
Wyre Forest	Worcestershire	Richard Taylor		IND Hold	CON Gain

 

East Midlands
Constituency	County	Current MP		Prediction	Actual
Amber Valley	Derbyshire	Judy Mallaber		CON Gain	CON Gain
Bolsover	Derbyshire	Dennis Skinner		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Chesterfield	Derbyshire	Paul Holmes		LD Hold	LAB Gain
Derby North	Derbyshire	Bob Laxton		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Derby South	Derbyshire	Margaret Beckett		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Derbyshire Dales	Derbyshire	Patrick McLoughlin		CON Hold	CON Hold
Derbyshire Mid	Derbyshire			CON Hold	CON Hold
Derbyshire North East	Derbyshire	Natascha Engel		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Derbyshire South	Derbyshire	Mark Todd		CON Gain	CON Gain
Erewash	Derbyshire	Liz Blackman		CON Gain	CON Gain
High Peak	Derbyshire	Tom Levitt		CON Gain	CON Gain
Bosworth	Leicestershire	David Tredinnick		CON Hold	CON Hold
Charnwood	Leicestershire	Stephen Dorrell		CON Hold	CON Hold
Harborough	Leicestershire	Edward Garnier		CON Hold	CON Hold
Leicester East	Leicestershire	Keith Vaz		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Leicester South	Leicestershire	Peter Soulsby		LD Gain	LAB Hold
Leicester West	Leicestershire	Patricia Hewitt		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Leicestershire NW	Leicestershire	David Taylor		CON Gain	CON Gain
Leicestershire South	Leicestershire	Andrew Robathan		CON Hold	CON Hold
Loughborough	Leicestershire	Andy Reed		CON Gain	CON Gain
Rutland & Melton	Leicestershire	Alan Duncan		CON Hold	CON Hold
Boston & Skegness	Lincolnshire	Mark Simmonds		CON Hold	CON Hold
Gainsborough	Lincolnshire	Edward Leigh		CON Hold	CON Hold
Grantham & Stamford	Lincolnshire	Quentin Davies		CON Hold	CON Hold
Lincoln	Lincolnshire	Gillian Merron		CON Gain	CON Gain
Louth & Horncastle	Lincolnshire	Peter Taspell		CON Hold	CON Hold
Sleaford & North Hykeham	Lincolnshire	Douglas Hogg		CON Hold	CON Hold
South Holl'd & The Deepings	Lincolnshire	John Hayes		CON Hold	CON Hold
Corby	Northamptonshire	Phil Hope		CON Gain	CON Gain
Daventry	Northamptonshire	Tim Boswell		CON Hold	CON Hold
Kettering	Northamptonshire	Phillip Hollobone		CON Hold	CON Hold
Northampton North	Northamptonshire	Sally Keeble		LD Gain	CON Gain
Northampton South	Northamptonshire	Brian Binley		CON Gain	CON Gain
Northamptonshire South	Northamptonshire			CON Hold	CON Hold
Wellingborough	Northamptonshire	Peter Bone		CON Hold	CON Hold
Ashfield	Nottinghamshire	Geoff Hoon		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Bassetlaw	Nottinghamshire	John Mann		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Broxtowe	Nottinghamshire	Nick Palmer		CON Gain	CON Gain
Gedling	Nottinghamshire	Vernon Coaker		CON Gain	LAB Hold
Mansfield	Nottinghamshire	Alan Meale		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Newark	Nottinghamshire	Patrick Mercer		CON Hold	CON Hold
Nottingham East	Nottinghamshire	John Heppell		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Nottingham North	Nottinghamshire	Graham Allen		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Nottingham South	Nottinghamshire	Alan Simpson		LAB Hold	LAB Hold
Rushcliffe	Nottinghamshire	Kenneth Clarke		CON Hold	CON Hold
Sherwood	Nottinghamshire	Paddy Tipping		CON Gain	CON Gain

 

Nb. In Solihull the boundary changes switched the 2005 notional winner from the Liberal Democrats to the Conservatives. In Northampton South the boundary changes switched the 2005 notional winner from the Conservatives to Labour. Quentin Davies (Grantham & Stamford) defected from the Conservatives to Labour in 2007. Claire Short (Birmingham Ladywood) resigned from the Labour whip in 2006 and sat as an Independent. Neither fought the 2010 General Election.