Here is a summary of our Scotland and Wales predictions. If you'd like to find out more about the 'Look @' format follow this link. If you'd like to see how we arrived at any predictions then click on the 'County' link and it will take you to the post discussing that constituency.
Scotland | ||
Party | BV | Actual |
CON | 2 | 1 |
LAB | 34 | 41 |
LD | 15 | 11 |
SNP | 8 | 6 |
Wales | ||
Party | BV | Actual |
CON | 7 | 8 |
LAB | 24 | 26 |
LD | 5 | 3 |
PC | 4 | 3 |
IND | 0 | 0 |
Scotland | |||||
Constituency | Council | Current MP |
| Prediction | Actual |
Aberdeen North | Frank Doran |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Aberdeen South | Anne Begg |
| LD Gain | LAB Hold | |
Banff & Buchan | Alex Salmond |
| SNP Hold | SNP Hold | |
Gordon | Malcolm Bruce |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine | Robert Smith |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Angus | Michael Weir |
| SNP Hold | SNP Hold | |
Dundee East | Stewart Hosie |
| SNP Hold | SNP Hold | |
Dundee West | James McGovern |
| SNP Gain | LAB Hold | |
Argyll and Bute | Alan Reid |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
West Dunbartonshire | John McFall |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock | Sandra Osbourne |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Central Ayrshire | Brian Donohue |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Kilmarnock & Loudoun | Des Browne |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
North Ayrshire & Arran | Katy Clark |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Perth & North Perthshire | Pete Wishart |
| SNP Hold | SNP Hold | |
Ochil & South Perthshire | Gordon Banks |
| SNP Gain | LAB Hold | |
Stirling | Anne McGuire |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Dumfries & Galloway | Russell Brown |
| CON Gain | LAB Hold | |
Dumfriesshire, Clydesdle & Tweeddale | David Mundell |
| CON Hold | CON Hold | |
Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk | Michael Moore |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow | Adam Ingram |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Lanark & Hamilton East | Jimmy Hood |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Rutherglen & Hamilton East | Tommy McAvoy |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Airdrie & Shotts | John Reid |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill | Thomas Clarke |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Motherwell & Wishaw | Frank Roy |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintolloch E | Rosemary McKenna |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
East Dunbartonshire | Jo Swinson |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
East Lothian | Anne Moffat |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Midlothian | David Hamilton |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Edinburgh East | Gavin Strang |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Edinburgh North & Leith | Mark Lazarowicz |
| LD Gain | LAB Hold | |
Edinburgh South | Nigel Griffiths |
| LD Gain | LAB Hold | |
Edinburgh South West | Alistair Darling |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Edinburgh West | John Barrett |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Falkirk | Eric Joyce |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Linlithgow & East Falkirk | Michael Connarty |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Livingston | Jim Devine |
| SNP Gain | LAB Hold | |
Dunfermline West & Fife | Willie Rennie |
| LD Gain | LAB Hold | |
Glenrothes | Lindsay Roy |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath | Gordon Brown |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
North East Fife | Ming' Campbell |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Glasgow Central | Mohammad Sarwar |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow East | John Mason |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow North | Ann McKechin |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow North East | Willie Bain |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow North West | John Robertson |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow South | Tom Harris |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Glasgow South West | Ian Davidson |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross | John Thurso |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey | Danny Alexander |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Ross, Skye & Lochaber | Charles Kennedy |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Moray | Angus Robertson |
| SNP Hold | SNP Hold | |
Inverclyde | David Cairns |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Paisley & Renfrewshire North | James Sheridan |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Paisley & Renfrewshire South | Douglas Alexander |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Renfrewshire East | Jim Murphy |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Na h-Eileanan an Iar | Angus MacNeil |
| LAB Gain | SNP Hold | |
Orkney & Shetland | Alistair Carmichael |
| LD Hold | LD Hold |
Wales | |||||
Constituency | Council | Incumbent |
| Prediction | Actual |
Aberconwy | Betty Williams |
| CON Gain | CON Gain | |
Clwyd West | David Jones |
| CON Hold | CON Hold | |
Vale of Clwyd | Chris Ruane |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Clwyd South | Martyn Jones |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Wrexham | Ian Lucas |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Alyn & Deeside | Mark Tami |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Delyn | David Hanson |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Ceredigion | Mark Williams |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Carmarthen East & Dinefwr | Adam Price |
| PC Hold | PC Hold | |
Llanelli | Nia Griffith |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Carmarthen West & South Pembrokeshire | Nick Ainger |
| CON Gain | CON Gain | |
Preseli Pembrokeshire | Stephen Crabb |
| CON Hold | CON Hold | |
Bridgend | Madeleine Moon |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Ogmore | Huw Irranca-Davies |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Cynon Valley | Ann Clwyd |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Pontypridd | Kim Howells |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Rhondda | Chris Bryant |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Vale of Glamorgan | John Smith |
| CON Gain | CON Gain | |
Cardiff South & Penarth | Alun Michael |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Cardiff Central | Jenny Willott |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Cardiff North | Julie Morgan |
| CON Gain | CON Gain | |
Cardiff West | Kevin Brennan |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Aberavon | Hywel Francis |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Neath | Peter Hain |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Gower | Martin Caton |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Swansea East | Sian James |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Swansea West | Alan William |
| LD Gain | LAB Hold | |
Blaenau Gwent | Dai Davies |
| LAB Gain | LAB Gain | |
Caerphilly | Wayne David |
| Lab Hold | Lab Hold | |
Islwyn | Don Touhig |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney | Dai Havard |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Monmouth | David Davies |
| CON Hold | CON Hold | |
Newport East | Jessica Morden |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Newport West | Paul Flynn |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Torfaen | Paul Murphy |
| LAB Hold | LAB Hold | |
Arfon | Hywel Williams |
| PC Gain | PC Gain | |
Dwyfor Meirionnydd | Elfyn Llywd |
| PC Hold | PC Hold | |
Ynys MĂ´ns | Albert Owen |
| PC Gain | LAB Hold | |
Brecon and Radnorshire | Roger Williams |
| LD Hold | LD Hold | |
Montgomeryshire | Lembit Ă–pik |
| LD Hold | CON Gain |
Nb. Willie Rennie (Dunfermline West & Fife) and John Mason (Glasgow East) both won their seats off Labour in by-elections. In Arfon the boundary changes switched the notional 2005 winner from Plaid Cymru to Labour.
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