There is just the one by-election this week and it is taking place in Harrow, London. The Conservatives are defending the Canons ward following the death of long serving Councillor John Cowan. Having first been elected in 1986 Cowan was due to receive an award for 25 years of public service the week after he passed away. His last re-election was in 2010 when he comfortably topped the poll ahead of his running mates.
With a gap of over 1500 votes between the third Tory and the top Labour candidates it is safe to say the Conservatives are expected to hold this seat comfortably. Labour have a significant Liberal Democrat vote to pick off but the Tories' results in the local Council elections earlier this month would suggest their own vote is holding up. As the Conservatives took the equivalent of 60% of the vote last year Labour have a lot of ground to make up to even get close to an unlikely gain.
Labour currently control the Council with a slim majority and this is one of two opportunities they will have in the coming months to increase it. Unfortunately for them the impending by-election in Stanmore Park will be just as difficult to win as the Conservatives will be defending another large majority in that ward.
Amir Moshenson (Con)
Nitin Parekh (Lab)
Darren Diamond (LD)