Showing posts with label Britain-Votes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Britain-Votes. Show all posts

Sunday, 13 November 2011

Britain-Votes.co.uk is moving house!!

Britain-Votes.co.uk is pleased to announce that we are moving to a new site! After 21 months on Blogger we are having a little upgrade to WordPress; we think the new site looks a lot better and we can do a lot more with the new platform.

We can assure you that the standard of content you have come to expect will continue in our new home and, as we get used to the platform, we intend to utilise the new features to improve our coverage.

This site will remain here for a combination of sentimental and practical reasons, not least that if we ever have a problem with the new host server during a LiveBlog we can quickly switch back to here.

If any of you subscribe to our RSS feed then you will need to switch onto THIS one.

So, thanks for following us over the last two years and we hope you will continue to enjoy this blog over on the new website.

Without further ado, please form an orderly queue and head to Britain-Votes.co.uk !

Wednesday, 19 October 2011

Introducing: Andrew Teale

Britain-Votes.co.uk are pleased to announce that the webmaster of the excellent Local Election Archive Project Andrew Teale will be helping out with the by-election coverage on the site. Andrew offered his services after our notice at the weekend that we would be cutting back on our by-election coverage due to lack of time.

Providing local Council by-election previews will be nothing new for Andrew as he has been doing likewise for the Atlas Forum (which we link to in our BlogRoll/Resource List) for the past year. Although he is not a member of any political party he is part of the Astley Bridge Conservative Club Quiz Team and is a member of the Electoral Reform Society.

Aside from politics Andrew is a Clarinet player with the Lancashire Band of the Royal Regiment of Fusilier and a successful Quiz player (his team are currently ranked 32nd in the UK). You can scan through his impressive list of Quiz related achievements on his homepage; including appearances on University Challenge, Mastermind and a winner on Battle of the Brains.

Andrew's debut post will be up later this evening; previewing all eight of tomorrow's by-elections.

Thursday, 22 September 2011

A big thank you to all our readers!

The Britain-Votes team would like to thank you all for voting us the #130 best political blog in the UK, ahead of some very good blogs we read regularly ourselves! Thanks to your support we were also 21st on the top Media list (?!) and 23rd in the non-aligned category.

It is very pleasing to have our humble website recognised but you can be rest assured that we are aiming to continually improve our coverage and hopefully we be even higher in next year's Total Politics awards!







Wednesday, 18 May 2011

Introducing: Kristofer Keane

We are pleased to announce that Kristofer Keane is joining the Britain-Votes.co.uk team. Kristofer is a Scottish Green Party Activist in North Lanarkshire with an interest in elections and he is coming on board primarily as our Scottish 'Correspondent', covering next year's Scottish Council elections and any by-elections that crop up north of the border. Kristofer may well be known to some readers as he has a website focussing on Scottish elections along with an accompanying blog. He is also a prolific tweeter and you can, and should, follow him @KristoferKeane.

In addition to Kristofer becoming a regular contributor we can also confirm that Harry Hayfield will continue to write for the site. During the last month both Chris and Tom have been a lot busier than we thought we would be when we planned our election coverage and Harry has done an excellent job taking some of the workload from us. Harry has been our de-facto Welsh 'Correspondent' since he joined us in February and this will continue as we move towards next year's local elections in Wales.

Saturday, 14 May 2011

Site Notice: Welsh Assembly Election

I really wasn't lying when I said I would be busy during May! I am working jobs #1 and #2 this week and there is a possibility that there will be a #3 soon. I'd rather post something good rather than something quickly on the Welsh Election so I offer my apologies to our readers and ask them to bear with me at the moment; I am working on Wales with what little spare time I have. Harry posted an article on the results so hopefully that will buy me a little bit of time.

In all this there is a longer term problem surrounding the fact Chris and I may actually get decent jobs one day. Although my two at the moment don't pay enough (or utilise that MSc good money was spent on!) Chris is currently on a short term internship so you never know…!

We are currently in the process of conducting a post-mortem of our Vote2011 coverage which is taking into account these issues and, amongst other things, reader's comments. As a result there will almost certainly be changes around here in the next month and we hope they will keep the website going from strength to strength after what has been a pretty good few months for us.

Thursday, 5 May 2011

Election Night 2011 with Britain-Votes.co.uk!

Tonight we will be using CoverItLive to do a LiveBlog on the Election. We'll be scouring the internet for rumours and results to try and provide up to the minute news on who is winning and where. At around 9.30pm a post will pop up and, in theory, you should be able to just read the window from when the 'event' starts at 10pm. We have integrated the @BritainVotes twitter feed into the LiveBlog so anything we tweet will show up there as well. The program does allow for readers comments but because the feed is likely to be very busy we have disabled that for tonight. We'd like to encourage you to get in touch on twitter or, if you agree with our PM and feel too many twits make a twat, to leave comments in the BlogPost.

For readers who have been with us a while this essentially going to be a massive version of our usual Thursday night Live Tweeting service we do for by-elections. Due to the sheer number of elections taking place tonight we are prioritising our own internet searching so, if you have any exciting information just mention @BritainVotes in the tweet and we'll RT. Between us all we can keep ahead of the MSN, and feel thoroughly smug about it to boot!

We wish anyone standing in any of today's elections good luck and look forward to hearing the results as they come in.

Also, if you haven't already…DON'T FORGET TO VOTE!!!

Thursday, 28 April 2011

Site Notice

We've got a couple of largely unrelated announcements about the blog to make. Actually, 'announcement' seems a bit grand for what they are but that will do!

You may be thinking that given the proximity to the elections this site should be a hive of activity. Readers that have been with us from the start may recall last year's bombardment in the 10 days leading up to the General Election (more recent followers see here and here)! Basically, as can sometimes happen, life has got in the way of our hobby. Over the last few months both Chris and Tom have been applying for plenty of jobs relevant to there qualifications with limited success. However, like buses, we've both been offered opportunities at short notice so despite the inconvenient timing (and the short term nature of them – rest assured, these aren't necessarily the beginnings of glittering careers!) we've really had to take them. As there are unlikely to be any interviews or training days taking place over the Bank Holiday weekend we should hopefully be able to catch up with the blogging!

The unrelated other announcement would be better described as an offer. You may have noticed that we ran a guest post earlier in the evening from an activist in Cannock Chase on next week's elections in the District. John getting in touch with us and submitting that article has led us to run with an idea that we had been toying with anyway. As we just don't have the time or resources to write about local council elections in the detail we would like to we are opening up the floor. If you would like to submit an article on your local council election then, if it's written well enough, we would be happy to publish it.

The key thing we would insist on is transparency from the author. We have great faith in people's ability to take a step back and write from a neutral perspective but without full disclosure of any political ties you, and therefore we, would be open to accusations of bias if that information was later revealed. The other thing is that if you write a preview then a review would also be a welcome touch, although we're not going to chase you with an axe if that just isn't practical!

So there you have it. In summary, Chris and Tom have been a bit busier the last few days than we expected (Tom will be definitely very busy throughout May) and if you want to write an article on how your local Council election might pan out we'd love to host it. And just to clarify, these two things really aren't linked. Fear not; any Guest Posts will be published in addition to our own content, not instead of!


 

Edit: You'll probably want an email address for any submissions – tharris@britain-votes.co.uk. Use that address or the comments if you would like any further information.

Friday, 11 February 2011

Happy Birthday to…US!

This blog is celebrating its first birthday today, and to mark the occasion I thought I'd throw out a brief synopsis of the last 12 months! You lucky devils…!

So, on a cold Sunday afternoon in February Tom pitched the idea of setting up a British Election blog to Chris. It would be loosely based on the excellent American site Electoral-Vote and he suggested we named 'Parliamentary-Vote'; Tom would deal with elections and Chris would look at party politics and strategy. Chris' response can be summarised in four words; 'good idea, **** name!' And so 'Britain-Votes.co.uk' was born.

The first post went up exactly year ago and it is scarily topical. Tom had a look at the constituencies the three Labour MPs (Elliot Morley, David Chaytor and Jim Devine) who had just been charged in relation to their expenses claims. The barmy idea to try and predict the General Election seat total by looking at every constituency in the country was then slowly formed. How Tom persuaded three others to help him in this ridiculous endeavour he'll never know, and how we managed to finish the project whilst still meeting University deadlines is even more of a mystery!

We made some good calls; we made some bad calls. Although we predicted a Hung Parliament we were a fair way out when it came to seat numbers. This was almost entirely because we got a bit too carried away with the whole Clegg bounce malarkey! Still, we learnt some valuable lessons; mainly, put a degree of spread in a 632 seat prediction and start the whole thing a lot earlier! We'd like to think we are putting this experience to good use now we have started this year's coverage.

The biggest problem we faced by starting this website so late in cycle was that every man and his dog were blogging about the General Election. We were picked up by a few established bloggers, most notably Jonathan Calder and Anthony Painter, but for the most part it wasn't easy getting noticed in the competitive world of the blogosphere. I guess being a bit more accurate would have helped!!! After the election we suffered a bit of a slump, and our excuses include, but are not exclusive to, University deadlines, illness and general blogging fatigue. The deferred election for Thirsk & Malton gave us something to look forward to whilst we decided on the medium term future of the blog…

Given the name and aims of the blog it's a wonder we didn't come up with the idea of focussing on Council by-elections before the General Election. Thankfully, somewhere around the time of the awkward marriage, the penny dropped and we started looking into how feasible this would be. The main thing that struck us was the lack of Independent by-election news on the internet. The Liberal Democrats, Conservatives, and Labour all had varying degrees of internal communication on the near weekly events, but save a paragraph or two in The Independent there wasn't much else around. So, we set about trying to become the accessible, unaffiliated source of by-election news. I let you be the judge of how well we have done on that front!

For Chris and Tom last summer was mostly about writing thousands upon thousands of words for our respective MSc dissertations. The regular by-elections were a nice source of content and traffic during these months when finding time to write the sort of interesting articles that get picked up by others was difficult. Of course, many of you have found this site via our Thursday night tweeting of by-election rumour and results, which was initially just a supreme act of procrastination by Tom when he was working late one night in the library. It was quickly apparent that others, namely Helen Duffet and Kristopher Keane, were already doing this but they seemed to welcome us into this bizarre weekly ritual, and so the Thursday night live tweeting was born!

Since the end of the summer the current format of the site has settled down. We have had some bumper election nights to cover, with our personal favourites being the deferred Exeter & Norwich elections and the Tower Hamlets Mayoral contest. With our Masters degrees done and dusted, although sadly no Master level jobs (damn you recession!), we have also been able to write a few more general articles to mix the content up a bit. Just this week we have welcomed a new contributor, and we are always looking for new ideas to help improve the site. We are now in full election mode again for this spring's devolved assembly poll, and there will be more on the many Council contests and the AV referendum as we get closer to May.

We have enjoyed that last year and we are hoping everything we have learnt from it will help us in the next. The site's readership has been consistently growing since last June so we like to thank all of you, whether you've been with us since the start or you have just stumbled upon us recently. Hopefully a few more will pop by in the coming months and add to the site with local feedback on the forthcoming elections.

So, thanks again; and remember – if Britain-Votes, we're on it!

Thursday, 10 February 2011

Introducing: Harry Hayfield

We are pleased to announce that Harry Hayfield will be contributing articles to this site over the next few months. Harry is a Liberal Democrat activist from Ceredigion with an interest in elections and he will be looking at how the current polling for the Welsh Election will translate into seats in the 4th Assembly.

Harry should be no stranger to readers who frequent other sites aside from this one for their regular British elections fix. He is an active member of the political blogosphere and has a regular column on Political Betting summarising each month's by-election results (I am not at all jealous!). Harry has also set up a Blog for this year's Welsh Referendum and Election which will certainly be worth keeping an eye on.

Harry's February Forecast will be published later this evening.

Tuesday, 25 January 2011

It Starts…Today!

The 5th May is less than 100 days away so we thought we'd better roll out our coverage of this year's bumper elections! If you've been with us since the start then I'm sure you'll recall our 'Look @' posts last year in the run up to the General Election. What started as a quick preview of some local constituencies developed into a pretty big project; looking at all 632 seats in Great Britain. We didn't decide to commit to this crazy plan until March and it required a pretty hectic schedule to complete them all before May. This year we're a bit more organised, despite being a man down so to speak.

Over the next month Chris and Tom will be publishing Look @'s for the Welsh Assembly and Northern Irish Parliament almost daily. Then we'll move on to the Scottish Parliament and English local elections as well as writing a post or two on the AV referendum (should it happen!). We've also badgered our (infrequent) contributor Kayleigh Lewis to do some journalistic articles on the local (to us) elections and some key seats in the devolved legislatures.

The one major change we are making from last year is that we will not be making ridged predictions. Instead we will use a more American style 'safe/lean' system; sitting on the fence a bit more, so to speak! As we get closer to the day we'll tighten these up to offer a general projection, but we'll cross that bridge when we come to it!

So we hope you'll enjoy the coverage, and not only come back for updates but give us a feel of how the campaigns are going near you! Tune in later for the first Wales post :-).

Thursday, 13 January 2011

Re-organisation

Regular readers with exceptional attention to detail will notice there two pages have disappeared from the top bar overnight. Fear not; the information is still on the website! We just needed to clear some space up there to pop some more relevant pages up. The Labour Leadership Election and the Labour Shadow Cabinet Election pages have been merged into the 'Labour Elections 2010' page. The Exeter and Norwich page has been split and buried. The Exeter results are here and the Norwich results are here.

Hopefully that all makes sense! This afternoon you'll get another excellent primer from Chris on the forthcoming Scottish Parliament. Until then, Happy First By-Election of the Parliament Day!

Sunday, 2 January 2011

We’re Back!

We hope you've enjoyed the festive period and we wish you all a Happy New Year! Having spent the last 10 days globetrotting we are now refreshed and ready for the busy political soon to be upon us. When I say globetrotting I really mean we've been the length and breadth of the South West between us…the quality of roads and public transport just make it feel a lot further!

We're hitting the ground running with a by-election in Berkshire this Thursday before the first Parliamentary by-election since the General Election takes place next week. The most interesting election related development over the Christmas period is that a relatively unknown polling company Survation are currently conducting a poll in Oldham East & Saddleworth. I'm sceptical of how accurate this will turn out to be for a variety of reasons but it's bound to create a stir when it's released. After this month Council by-elections will dry up but this is a blessing in disguise. We're planning to provide commentary on all three devolved assembly elections as well as the two referendums so the spare time Tom will suddenly have will be aptly filled! For a quick reference here are some important dates for your diary:

6th January

First By-Election of 2011 (Park, Windsor & Maidenhead)

13th January

Oldham East & Saddleworth Parliamentary By-Election

11th February

Britain-Votes.co.uk's 1st Birthday

3rd March

Welsh Assembly Extension of Powers Referendum

5th May

Scottish Parliament Election

  

Welsh Assembly Election

  

Local Elections in England & Northern Ireland

  

Alternative Vote Referendum

Saturday, 25 December 2010

Merry Christmas!


Britain-Votes.co.uk wishes you all a Merry Christmas!

As you can imagine blogging will be light non-existent over the next week. However, work will be going on behind the scenes as we tidy up the site ahead of May's election bonanza. If you're lucky we'll have the introduction to the Scottish Parliament elections going up to join Northern Ireland. If you're looking for something to read during the news lull I'm sure you could do worse! Chris is close to finishing Scotland but he's been hit by flu.

In the meantime, enjoy the political break and we'll see you all in the New Year!

Sunday, 10 October 2010

*New Page* - Labour Shadow Cabinet Election

There's a new page up on the top bar with the results of the Labour Shadow Cabinet Election. Our Chief Party Correspondent (Political Party, not fun party!) has an article on the subject up his sleeve and when that's published everything will be cross linked accordingly.

Sunday, 26 September 2010

*New* Page: Labour Leadership Result

We've got a new page on the top bar with the Labour Leadership result. Our Labour Leadership Correspondent (Chris!) has been quite busy recently but he'll be providing some analysis on Ed Miliband's victory during this week. This is quite useful as Tom is on holiday for the next few days, and so he'll be looking after the site. Looking further forward we'll be having a look at the UKIP Leadership election, which finishes on 5th November (I don't envisage fireworks!), and we've begun our work for next year's devolved assembly elections. Of course, the by-election coverage will continue as usual, although Tom's break means that this week's are already scheduled.

Monday, 13 September 2010

*New* By-Election Page

If you have a quick look at the top menu bar you should (hopefully) see a new page called 'By-Elections'. On it is the current list of forthcoming by-elections. Usually this is provided in the form of a blog post on Monday evenings but there are so many of them now that this is taking up far too much room. Therefore, as part of the site's restructuring, there will be a permanent page to visit to check out when and where Britain is voting. The page will be updated on Sundays and there will be a 'last update' time provided. The regular Monday night post will then show the new vacancies that have arisen and newly confirmed dates of by-elections we were already aware of.

Wednesday, 8 September 2010

Re-Structuring

As the General Election was over four months ago it seems a little pointless leaving our stab at predicting the event on our limited page space. So we've finally changed it a little up there! Fear not, the posts are still searchable. The GE2010 page has links to the [now buried as blog posts] pages which in turn still link to the numerous Look @ posts. In the next few weeks we'll be utilising the space up there for more topical tables. As you can see now, the previous Exeter and Norwich City Council election results have pride of place. They'll be referenced in a preview post tomorrow and updated on Thursday night. Also, as the ballots have been sent out we will be blogging a bit more about the Labour Leadership battle in the run up to the announcement of the result on 25th September. We've also got some material to publish on the General and Local election results from may that can go up now we have the space. However, that will probably wait until after this busy period of electoral activity.

Saturday, 15 May 2010

A Welcome Break

After a week of soaking in the incredible political news, and taking a little break from writing about the election, Britain-Votes.co.uk is looking to the future. We still have Thirsk and Malton to elect their MP to complete this year's General Election and, of course, the race to replace Brown as the leader of the Labour Party. In the coming weeks we'll be running articles on both as well as continuing the post mortem on our predictions. When all that's wrapped up we'll begin to look at next year's Scottish and Welsh elections as well as analysing this year's Council election results. Labour secretly gained over 400 seats if you hadn't realised! And, sadly, there will always be Parliamentary and Council by-elections to cover. But on a brighter note we've been promised a Referendum on a new voting system, so that will be something to talk about even if it results in a No vote. If the British people do wish to switch to the Alternative Vote then this blog will be on hand to look at how this will affect the next General Election. Finally, there's always potential for a Government, especially a coalition Government, to fall; which would probably give us more material than we could handle right now! So, despite a quiet week, Britain-Votes.co.uk is for life, not just the 2010 General Election. Our meandering thoughts will here for all to see, and disagree with, until we are subjected to a dictatorship…!

Thursday, 6 May 2010

Britain-Votes.co.uk Projection

We've completed our seat by seat analysis of the UK and this is the result! We apologise to any Northern Ireland readers. We only have excuses for missing the country out. They include running out of time and none of us know a great deal about NI politics (especially not to predict 4-way marginals!).



Conservatives

Labour

Lib Dems

Others



Region

2005

Prediction

2005

Prediction

2005

Prediction

2005

Prediction



East

42

+8

50

13

-10

3

3

+2

5

0

-

0



London

21

+11

32

44

-14

30

7

+4

11

1

-1

0

RSP


West Midlands

19

+12

31

37

-17

20

2

+5

7

1

-

1

IND


East Midlands

19

+12

31

26

-15

11

1

+3

4

0

-

0



North East

1

+2

3

27

-6

21

1

+4

5

0

-

0



York + Humber

9

+8

17

41

-12

29

4

+3

7

0

-

0



North West

9

+17

26

61

-23

38

5

+5

11

0

-

0



Scotland

1

+1

2

41

-7

34

11

+4

15

6

+2

8

SNP


Wales

3

+4

7

30

-6

24

4

+1

5

3

+1

4

PC

IND

South East

61

+11

72

17

-14

3

6

+2

8

0

+1

1

GRN


South West

25

+4

29

12

-6

6

18

+2

20

0

-

0



















210

+90

300

349

-130

219

62

+36

98

11

+3

14




We're going to sleep now and we'll be back in the afternoon to do some analysis on this and many other things (I think we're all looking forward to writing something fun!)

‘A Look @’ Template

As far as it is possible we will discuss groups of constituencies within local council areas. For instance, we have split Somerset into three parts; Somerset, North Somerset and North East Somerset and Bath. We'll then provide the important information in the following table.

Constituency

Incumbent

Notional Majority

Swing Needed

Favourite

Prediction

Dorset South

Jim Knight

1,812

1.9%

1/8

CON Gain

Dorset West

Oliver Letwin

2,461

2.4%

3/10

LD Gain

Dorset North

Robert Walter

4,200

4.3%

3/10

CON Hold

Christchurch

Christopher Chope

14,640

15.7%

1/200

CON Hold


This is fairly self explanatory. The incumbent has his/her party's colour as their background; Labour = Red, Conservatives = Blue, Liberal Democrats = Orange. A line through their name denotes that they are not standing for re-election. The notional majorities are Rallings and Thrasher's. The colour behind the swing and favourite column's show which party needs the quoted swing and which party is the favourite. A darker colour will be used in the Prediction to highlight that we feel the seat will change hands.

We will then discuss the close races in the seats looked at in the post to explain our prediction. We'll be looking at local and personal factors that could affect the constituency in addition to the national factors. These include, but are not limited to scandals, with expenses the most prominent, and the candidates' credentials.

The 'One to Watch' [O2W] symbol on our regional pages indicates the seats we think will be tight on May 6th.