Showing posts with label BNP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BNP. Show all posts

Tuesday, 26 July 2011

Is this the worst possible result for the BNP?

You may not have noticed, but there was a party leadership contest yesterday for the BNP.

I blogged about some of the BNP’s travails back in November. My blogpost was met by some sharp denials by what I can only assume were BNP activists, but nonetheless the situation appeared to go from bad to worse for the BNP after that. Relations between Nick Griffin and the party’s second MEP, Andrew Brons, appeared to deteriorate in pretty dramatic terms culminating with this youtube video:


(This is an edited down version of a much longer recording that I have borrowed from the gentlemen at political scrapbook.)

Brons himself is a former National Front leader during the period which it was already dying. He is older than Griffin (64) and less rabble rousing and seems more cerebral. He used to teach A-level politics.

In June 2011 the BNP adopted a new constitution, said constitution stated that party leaders have to be re-elected every four years. Brons challenged Griffin for the leadership and this is the result:

Candidate

Votes

Percentage

Nick Griffin

1156

50.19%

Andrew Brons

1148

49.80%

There were 11 spoilt ballots and 39 votes not counted as they lacked a signature. All in all Nick Griffin beat Andrew Brons by 9 votes. Griffin immediately called for unity, but I can’t help but feel that the opposite will happen. Close elections in split parties are rarely a good thing and the BNP is clearly highly divided at this time. The close result will give those within the party who oppose Griffin a feeling of a missed opportunity and fresh anger. It is hard to believe this is over.

In any case, it is difficult to see the BNP as anything but a party in terminal decline, a dead project. That is not to say that the far-right is dead, just that it will be forced to change. Indeed it may have already done, the EDL may now be the public face of the anti-immigration movement.

Monday, 6 December 2010

A Story of Two Lefts

Once upon a time life was simple. There was the left, and the right, and that was that. In the 1960s something a bit odd happened, a ‘New Left’ arose. The new left embraced so-called ‘post-material’ concerns. That is to say traditionally politics was entirely about economics. Either you believed in the free-market, in which case you were right-wing, or you believed in redistribution of wealth in which case you were left-wing. The New Left brought a new series of political concerns and baggage with them, which weren’t about economics at all, but about values, and opposing the rigid social order and conservative social values of the immediate post-war years. They were anti-war, anti-nuclear, and anti-elite. They believed in gay rights, smashing the political system, in feminism, anti-racism and in environmentalism. Not only were they beliefs different but so were their tactics, rather than forming or joining political parties they set up civil society groups, and charities. They marched in the streets against Vietnam and racism. They fought with the police. We all know of Martin Luther King Jr, some of you will be aware of the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament in the UK, or of the May 1968 riots in France.

These groups were the result of several connected societal changes. On the one hand there was increased post-war prosperity as the post-war economy boomed. For the first time only a minimal number of Westerners had to worry about where their next meal was coming from or how they’d pay their bills. The politics of want and need were largely drawing to an end. At the same time a more educated, knowledgeable, connected population had new awareness of the world around them. The New Left was particularly popular amongst students and academics, and in the new intellectual middle classes. This education also largely led people to shed previous identities and divisions – class or religion in favour of the new values politics.

Across the West politicians had to find ways to deal with the new movement. In the US the Democratic Party essentially split between an intellectual liberal side and a more populist, white working class side. In 1972 they ran George McGovern for the Presidency, largely on an anti-Vietnam ticket. He supported abortion and there were rumours about his views on drugs. He lost in a landslide. Yet there is often discussion in the United States of a so-called ‘culture war’ between these cultural liberals and those with an altogether more traditional view. The split in the Democratic Party remains too. During the 2008 Presidential primaries Barack Obama was typically seen as representing liberal intellectuals and ethnic minorities, whereas Hillary Clinton was supported more by the trade unions (still predominantly white and working class).

In Europe new political formations started to appear, but the most notable was the ‘Green Party’. There are often said to be four ‘pillars’ of the Green movement: ‘ecological wisdom’, ‘social justice’, ‘grassroots democracy’ and ‘nonviolence’. Green parties are essentially the ideological descendants of the New Left.

Yet they posed a challenge to the older, more established, centre-left parties in Europe, and they all took on some form of the new ideals. In Britain both the Labour Party and the Liberals immediately took on some of the ideals. The Liberal Party moved from a party which had only 2.7% of the vote and six MPs in 1956 to a party capable of winning 19.3% and fourteen MPs by 1974. The return to power of Labour in 1964 under Prime Minister Harold Wilson, after thirteen years of opposition, did not lead to the expected outburst of socialism. Wilson nationalised little and pursued an economic policy that was vaguely centrist for the day. Yet meanwhile he allowed the action of backbench MPs, Liberals and cabinet ministers to lead to a mini-social revolution, liberalising laws on censorship, divorce, homosexuality, abortion and immigration, as well as abolishing the death penalty.

In defeat Labour continued to embrace New Left concerns. Not only did its infamous 1983 manifesto (‘the longest suicide note in history’) contain sections of traditional socialism (nationalising huge numbers of industries, raising taxes and increasing the size of the welfare state) but it also embraced unilateral nuclear disarmament, withdrawal from NATO and gay rights. The Lib Dems too embraced post-materialism. Indeed I would argue that the Lib Dems are, at their core, a post-material party. For if one wishes to redistribute wealth one still joins Labour, if one wishes for low taxes and a free market economy one joins the Tories. The majority of Lib Dems I have met, however, would describe their priorities as civil liberties, political reform and Internationalism.

When Labour came back to power it embraced the ‘Third Way’ as so many other large centre-left parties had. A simplistic reading of this strategy and thinking is to say it simply moves to the centre, but in reality the Third Way attempted to combine three contesting discourses, a traditional socialist one defending the welfare state, state regulation and equality, a more conservative, neoliberal discourse and finally a post-materialist discourse. Labour’s post-materialism was more apparent early on – initially it largely favoured political reform, transparency and increased civil liberties. Political reformers, civil liberties campaigners and Liberal Democrats will question me on this, but I would point to the Freedom of Information Act, the Human Rights Act, and the Hunting Act as post-materialist legislation. I would also point to civil partnerships, foreign aid, and multiculturalism as areas where Labour embraced New Left concerns. Discourse wise it was also fond of talking about the environment, and Robin Cook’s declaration of an ‘ethical foreign policy’ in 1997 may raise guffaws amongst some readers now, but there was at least an attempt there to appeal to internationalist concerns. It is sometimes said that while the right has won on economics, it is the left that has won on culture. This is a gross simplification, but like all good simplifications there is a ring of truth to it.

The three competing discourses are all present in Labour still – they need to be if it is to win re-election. Labour must, at one and the same time, appeal to the working class, the culturally liberal middle classes and to the political centre ground. Failure to appeal to all three at the same time will result in huge strategic problems. Yet there is a clash between the three. For an example take an issue like immigration. Typically it is the working classes who are most anti-immigration, but at the same time it is the culturally liberal middle classes (and ethnic minorities) who are most likely to be pro-immigration. Research from the last election tends to indicate the majority of the general public and a vast swathe of Labour’s support indicating a preference for a more restrictive immigration policy, often favouring Conservative Party policy on the subject, but amongst those who did not favour Conservative Party policy Labour Party policy was often seen as too restrictive. In many countries a polarisation is going on with those supporters of centre-left parties who like liberal immigration policies heading towards green and left-liberal parties whereas those who prefer a more restrictive policy head towards conservatives and the far-right. There is evidence of this here – with the increased vote for the Lib Dems on the one hand and a strong BNP vote in many working class traditional Labour safe seats. Indeed with the rise of the New Left there is the countermovement – that of the far-right. For the BNP and their brethren are not far-right in the economic sense but far-right in their rejection of the universalist, and egalitarian principles of the modern left. They are anti-multiculturalism, anti-feminism, and anti-environmentalism. Perhaps inevitably then, a move to a politics based on new culturally liberal values has resulted in a movement that rejects those values.

All over Europe, not just in Britain, the reality is that left-wing parties are being booted out of government, often in startling style. The reason is simple – no one has found the correct blending of the three discourses of classical socialism, neoliberalism and postmaterialism. To embrace neoliberalism too much is to be accused of compromising beliefs, of being the same as the centre-right and to lose votes to the left. Embracing postmaterialism too much will result in a growth of the far-right. To embrace traditional socialism too much is to leave that space open to the centre-right. To worry traditional left-wing parties more postmaterialist parties are more and more willing to accommodate with the right. In Finland and Ireland Green parties have willingly entered coalition with the centre-right. The same can be said here of the arguably post-materialist Lib Dems. In the Netherlands and Germany Greens are willing to deal with the right too. The opportunity for the development of a right which embraces new left values threatens to be a serious crisis for parties like Labour.

Tuesday, 16 November 2010

The end of the BNP?

We don’t talk much about smaller parties on Britain Votes, which is a shame because there’s quite some interesting things to be said about them. Perhaps one of the most interesting stories of recent times is the potential end of the British National Party. The party is said to be near bankruptcy and if it is declared bankrupt then its two MEPs, (one of which is Nick Griffin) will lose their seats. The party’s poor finances are primarily blamed on a series of lawsuits, both against Marmite for using their copyrighted material in advertising and with the Equality and Human Rights Commission for repeatedly refusing to alter rules to allow entry by ethnic minority Britons. The latter was particularly foolish as the BNP was sued, lost the case, and changed its rules, but its new rules were still considered discriminatory and it was sued again. Part of the blame must also go to its 2010 election performance which was poor. While the party came fifth in terms of the popular vote, getting 1.9% of the vote, it did so standing in 338 constituencies. This means that in a lot of seats the BNP lost deposits – at five hundred pounds for each seat where they scored below 5%. Embarrassing the party further they lost all their seats on Barking and Dagenham council which they had hoped to take control of. Meanwhile the Greens scored a larger success, by winning their first seat, on only 1% of the national vote, by essentially targeting their campaigning efforts into two seats.

Since the election the party has been victim to a series of defections, including from relatively high profile members such as Richard Barnbrook, its sole MLA on the Greater London Assembly. Griffin has also been subject to challenges to his authority with leadership contests most prominently from its campaigns chief, Eddy Butler. Butler’s website has a series of accusations though who knows how trustworthy they are as Butler has since been kicked out of the party. Perhaps due to this constant pressure Griffin has announced he will stand down in 2013, but even if the party does still technically exist at the next election it seems unlikely it will be capable of mounting the same degree of campaign as before, it will likely be cash-strapped and have a much smaller number of activists – Butler, amongst others, claims that the party has lost 4,000 of the 14,000 members it claimed to have when it last updated its Electoral Commission records (though these claims do, of course, come from people with an anti-BNP agenda). In a very real sense then, the BNP appears to be a failed project on its last legs as a notable electoral force.

While the leadership of Griffin, overstretching resources, making poor legal decisions and holding absolute control over his party, must surely be largely to blame for the BNP’s apparent failure I personally feel that the party was never destined to become an influential force. Many will talk of our electoral system, and yes, First Past the Post must take some credit for making it much harder for fringe parties to gain seats, but at the same time the BNP’s party identity is problematic. The BNP is part of a recent trend in European political parties which began in the 1980s and exploded in the 1990s – the right-wing populist party. Such parties gained support and success from a mixture of anti-establishment rhetoric (hence ‘populist’) and anti-egalitarian stances (hence ‘right-wing’). They often combined this with an idiosyncratic set of economic views and extreme anti-immigration and particularly anti-muslim rhetoric (often said to be the defining feature of such parties). The parties appealed predominantly to disaffected working class white males. Many were quite successful and some have even reached government or at least supported minority governments (for instance in Switzerland, the Netherlands and Denmark). Yet there is a key difference between the BNP and these other parties. The BNP was formed by a splinter from the National Front led by John Tyndall whose previous statements had included statements to the effect that Hitler was right, and other rhetoric that was clearly fascistic. Under Griffin the party attempted to distance itself from associations with fascism but its history made this impossible. I do not actually believe that the BNP is fascist, and I feel the word is overused and in doing so the term is devalued, but the party has never been able to distance itself from claims that it is far-right, racist, and authoritarian. This compares unfavourably with European right-wing populist parties the most successful of which have never been associated with fascism. See the Progress Parties of Denmark and Norway who emanated from anti-tax movements, see the Freedom Party of Austria which was once considered a liberal party, see the Party for Freedom of the Netherlands which splintered from a liberal party, or the Swiss People’s Party that was for a long time an agrarian-conservative outfit. The most successful right-wing populist parties have emerged from various centre-right outfits. Those that come from the far-right are less successful. The Sweden Democrats emanated from a neo-Nazi movement and only gained their first seats this year despite only needing 4% of the vote to do so. To my mind the BNP had reached its ceiling, and I doubt the party would have found it easy to gain seats even if we had PR.

So what then, of British right-wing populism? The BNP’s voters and activists do not cease to hold their views even if their party is moribund. On the one hand is the English Defence League protest group which protests against Islam in the UK. The EDL, as a grassroots organisation, is much more difficult to paint out as racist or fascist because it does not have an obvious leader like Griffin, and the racism of individual members can be written off as unrepresentative of the wider organisation. On the other hand Britain already has another party that could be described as right-wing populist and it is called the UK Independence Party. UKIP’s primary viewpoint is anti-European, but it is also anti-immigration, and anti-establishment, not dissimilar from our prior description of right-wing populists. More moderate European right-wing populist parties already resemble it, and the party’s former leader, Lord Pearson of Rannoch, invited the Dutch right-wing populist leader Geert Wilders to the Houses of Parliament for a showing of his anti-Islamic film Fitna. The party also shares a European parliamentary group with parties which can all be contained under the ‘right-wing populist’ umbrella. Yet unlike the BNP it is much more difficult to write UKIP off as racist or fascistic – when David Cameron described the party as ‘fruitcakes, loonies and closet racists, mostly’ he was criticised by the press, his own party and threatened with a defamation suit from UKIP itself. Indeed like many right-wing populists when UKIP politicians criticise Islam it is often from a view that purports to be liberal – that Islam is repressive and intolerant and so it is incompatible with the British way of life. Many of its most prominent members and leaders originate from the Conservative Party (including current leader Nigel Farage) and it has professionalism and an appeal to the middle classes that the BNP never had. The party could easily broaden its agenda with a moderate form of right-wing populism and suck up much of the BNP’s vote. Yet in doing so it must be careful, for it risks putting off those more moderate anti-European voters who have twice propelled it into second place in European Parliamentary elections, and if it is to win seats under an AV election, as it appears to hope, it may find this puts off voters from preferencing it.

The BNP may not cease to exist completely (indeed it is worth remembering that the National Front still exists and fields candidates, however lacking its success) but it appears to be on its last legs. Yet just because the party disappears it does not mean that the views of their supporters change. Like it or not the BNP has tapped into something which the three main parties have failed to represent. I am certain that sooner or later right-wing populism will rear its head again, albeit with a different face.