Wednesday, 30 June 2010

By-Election Watch (30/06/10)

It's a bit late this week but here's our current list of forthcoming by-elections. The site hasn't been updated as much as we'd like recently due to busy workloads and a family bereavement. The latter hasn't eased the former but these things happen and hopefully we'll be back on track during July.

Council

Type

Ward

Party

Reason

Date

Lambeth

London

Tulse Hill

Labour

Arrested

1st July

Shropshire

Unitary

Clee

Conservative

Misconduct

1st July

Barking & Dagenham

London

Goresbrook

Labour

Ineligible

8th July

Blaenau Gwent

Wales

Tredegar Central & West

Labour

Death

8th July

Brighton

Unitary

St. Peter's & North Laine

Green

MEP

8th July

Caerphilly

Wales

Blackwood

Independent

Personal

8th July

Darlington

Unitary

Cockerton West

Labour

MP

8th July

Redbridge

London

Chadwell

Labour

Ineligible

8th July

Gwynedd

Wales

Diffwys and Maenofferon

Llais Gwynedd

Arrested

15th July

Surrey

County

Worplesdon

Conservative

Death

15th July

Walsall

Metro.

Bloxwich West

Conservative

Death

15th July

Camden

London

Frognal and Fitzjohns

Conservative

Death

22nd July

Kensington & Chelsea

London

Holland

Conservative

Minister

22nd July

Rhondda Cynon Taff

Wales

Cymmer

Labour

Death

22nd July

Torbay

Unitary

St Mary's with Summercombe

Conservative

Death

22nd July

Wolverhampton

Metro.

Bilston North

Conservative

Death

29th July

Bath & North East Somerset

Unitary

Radstock

Independent

Death

5th Aug

Cumbria

County

Aspatria & Wharrels

Conservative

Death

TBA

Durham

County

Brandon

Labour

Death

TBA

Knowsley

Metro.

Park

Labour

Personal

TBA

Rotherham

Metro.

Sitwell

Conservative

Death

TBA

St Helens

Metro.

Billinge & Seneley Green

Labour

Death

TBA

West Sussex

County

Maidenbower

Conservative

MP

TBA

The two main by-elections this week are for interesting reasons and so although it will be hard to draw general conclusions they could be quite volatile. The Lambeth vote is because the sitting Labour councillor was arrested on suspicion of having child porn images on his computer. The Liberal Democrats were the closest challengers in Tulse Hill a couple of months ago and perhaps the circumstances of the by-election will help gain a seat here tomorrow. Labour have a strong majority on the Council with 43 of the 63 seats, and so losing this one won't make any difference to the balance of power. The Liberal Democrats are their main opposition in Lambeth with 15 Councillors currently.

Candidate

May '10

Ruth Ling (LAB)

51%

Terry Curtis (LD)

28%

George Graham (GRN)

12%

Will Blackburn (CON)

9%

Robin Lambert (UKIP)

-

The by-election in Shropshire will take place because a sitting Conservative Councillor was found guilty of making 'persistent and personal attacks' on a junior employee. The Liberal Democrats came very close to winning the Clee Ward in 2009 and they have selected the same candidate for this by-election. Given the reason for the by-election, and the small swing required, the Lib Dems will certainly be hoping for a gain over their national coalition partners. If they manage to win tomorrow's vote the Lib Dems will then hold 12 of the 74 seats. The Conservatives currently have a very comfortable majority on in Shropshire which won't be at all affected by this by-election.

Candidate

2009

Hayley Fernihough

38%

Richard Huffer

36.9%

Graeme Perks

25.1%

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