Tuesday, 25 October 2011

By-Election Watch (25/10/11)

Here are this week's changes to the by-election page:

Council

Type

Ward

Defending Party

Reason

Date

Wrexham

Wales

Ruabon

Plaid Cymru

Death

17th Nov

Bradford

Metro.

Great Horton

Labour

Resigned

24th Nov

Norfolk

County

Lakenham

Lib Dem

Resigned

24th Nov

Cornwall

County (U)

Wendron

Independent

Death

24th Nov

Adur

District

Eastbrook

Lib Dem

Disqualified

TBA

Tamworth

District

Mercian

Conservative

Death

TBA

Our by-election list is a little bit shorter this week as just two new vacancies have replaced the nine that took place last week. We're going to be busy right up until December as there are currently at least four by-elections scheduled every week until the 24th November.

As mentioned last week, it will be interesting to see if the Adur by-election is actually called or whether they hold it back until May next year. The Conservatives were very vocal in their opposition to the last by-election taking place barely six months before the partial Council elections.

Of course, they were defending the seat last week and came very close to losing it to Labour.Link They will be strong favourites to gain the Eastbrook from the Liberal Democrats so they might be less inclined to brand this by-election a 'waste' of money. The fact this term runs until 2014 could be used to differential the two by-elections (see comments).

If a by-election does take place we will try and do a bit better with our pre-count coverage. At least we aren't strangers to the good political folk of Adur now!


Tom Harris

Sunday, 23 October 2011

Review: Three Days in May

This is Kay's first, of hopefully many, weekly column pieces that will be a little bit different to the usual serious by-election and politics articles we have on this site. As we said the other day, the political blogosphere is full of bloggers who are firmly inside the 'political bubble'. Kay neither has the time nor the inclination to keep up with said bubble so hopefully this column will give a bit of perspective from someone who's interested in, but not too involved with, politics. Sometimes the column will take a look at a recent event or story, others [like today] it will review a show or film our readers might be interested in seeing. So without further ado, here's her take on the play 'Three Days in May'. TH

Three Days in May is a political drama set in Churchill's War Cabinet. It documents the discussions and decisions leading to the country's decision to either sue for peace or stand up to Hitler's Nazi Germany. Made over three days, it is a decision that would change the World forever.

When Three Days in May began I was a bit concerned that it was actually going to feel about three days long.

The whole play is pretty much set around six characters and their time spent in one room. In here they discuss a matter that the kind of audience watching Three Days in May would probably already know inside out.

Given that the majority of the narrative is based around one room, the war cabinet, my expectations didn't go much beyond making it look realistic, which it does. However the set designer, Gary McCann did have a few clever artistic devices despite his restrictions.

The first was a map of Europe which showed where German troops were. This helped to visualise the urgency of the matter. It would be quite difficult to portray everything going on outside the cabinet when everything we are shown occurs within it.

The second was the bureau of one Jock Colville, Churchill's personal secretary at the time, brilliantly played by James Alper. It is through Colville that much of the story is told. Everything within the war cabinet witnessed by us is also witnessed by him. McCann cleverly set his bureau in the foreground but to the left of the stage, this way he is always present but not obtrusive.

Alper opens the play with a recap about events so far to ensure that we're all up to speed. Whilst I was watching the show I couldn't help but find that this part was dragging. I think that this wasn't because the historical re-cap was too long, as it wasn't. I think it was more the anticipation to meet the characters.

Winston Churchill is played by the well known actor Warren Clarke, famed for his role as Detective Superintendent Andrew Daziel in the television crime-drama Daziel and Pascoe. Other notable appearances include a role in the cult film a Clockwork Orange. Clarke even once played a young Churchill in the 70s in a television mini-series called Jennie: Lady Randolph Churchill.

Billed as Clarkes "return to the stage for the first time in a decade" I'm sure that I was not alone in wanting to meet his version of the Churchill we all know so well. As expected, Clarke was superb. He didn't just capture the mannerisms and characteristics of him, he got the spirit too.

Though excellent the rest of the cast weren't to be overshadowed. Robert Demeger brought a troubled sensitivity to former-Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain, whilst Jeremy Clyde gave Churchill a strong but well-reasoned opposition in his portrayal of Lord Halifax. The play only really got going when this trio started to try and find a solution to the very immediate problems facing Great Britain.

Despite a familiarity with the decisions made in the build up to Britain's involvement in the Second World War I'm not sure many of us had really considered how such decisions were made. It's hard to imagine that such difficult and World altering decisions were made over a series of meetings with so few people in one little room.

It's also remarkable that it was only down to a couple of people, the two Labour members of the cabinet were already sided with Churchill and this would have been enough. However despite Churchill's stubbornness on most matters he refused to make the decision without the support of either Lord Halifax or Chamberlain.

It's this conflict, and Ben Brown's clever dialogue, which keeps the audience engaged and keeps the pace moving. By the end although you already know what decision the war cabinet came to you are eager to discover how it came about.

After a slightly staggering start Three Days in May really finds its feet. Alan Strachan's direction allows the story space to breathe which allows the audience to emerge themselves in it slowly but, eventually, fully.

Three Days in May will be showing at Trafalgar Studios in London from Monday 31st October. If you get the chance, and regardless of how much history you know, go and let yourself be a part of one of the most important decisions ever made.


 

Kayleigh Lewis

Tories suffer the only loss of the week

A total of nice by-elections took place this week but just one seat changed hands. The Conservatives were the party on the receiving end of the sole gain as an Independent candidate enjoyed a comfortable victory in Stafford. This came two days after the Tories almost lost a seat to Labour in Adur. In the only other seemingly marginal ward up for grabs this week the Liberal Democrats held off a challenge from the Conservatives; providing more evidence that the latter struggle more than their opponents to get their support to the polling stations on cold October days.

The surprise result of Thursday night came from the Walton ward in Stafford, where the Independent candidate Jill Hood enjoyed a 12.6% swing to gain a seat from the Conservatives. The by-election was taking place following the death of a long-serving Conservative Councillor Mike Carey. Hood had narrowly missed out on a seat in May, falling 84 votes short of the third Tory candidate in the multi-member ward.

The main problem the Conservatives seem to have had in this by-election is getting their supporters to go out and vote. Their top candidate in the spring polled 1009 votes where as John O'Leary could only manage 371 on Thursday. In comparison, Hood managed to hold on to three-quarters of her support from May and ended up a comfortable winner.

The Conservatives still enjoy a large majority in Stafford with the next full Council elections not due to take place until 2015.

Walton (Stafford)

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-

Jill Hood (E)

569

45.7%

+19.9%

John O'Leary

371

29.8%

-5.3%

Lloyd Brown

306

24.6%

+1.7%

The Conservatives were also involved in the other competitive by-election on Thursday in the Mole Valley DC ward of Bookham South. The Liberal Democrats were defending the seat following the death of Cllr. Anne Howarth. The Lib Dems held two of the three seats in the ward but the Tories had won the most recent contest in May.

In general, the Liberal Democrats have been recovering from their poor performance in May and this by-election proved no exception. Stella Brooks enjoyed a 3.5% swing since the spring election to win with a majority of 103 over the Tory candidate Gail Collett.

The victory means the Liberal Democrats remain the largest party in Mole Valley; however the Conservatives currently control the Council in coalition with an Independent grouping. That is likely to remain the case until next May's partial elections, when Brooks will have to defend her seat again.

Mole Valley District Council

LD

Con

Ind

LIG

18

-

17

-

5

-

1

-

Bookham South

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-

Stella Brooks (E)

1043

47.2%

+2.6%

Gail Collett

940

42.5%

-4.4%

Bob Cane

228

10.3%

+1.8%

As for the other six by-elections on Thursday there was relatively little movement in any of them from the last time the wards were contested. A running theme through the contests was that Labour have slipped back slightly from the vote shares they achieved in May this year.

Shortlands (Bromley)

 

Ellesmere Port Town (Cheshire West & Chester)

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

 

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

David Jefferys (E)

1480

59.5%

+1.5%

 

Lynn Clare (E)

686

71.6%

-9.5%

Anuja Prashar

490

19.7%

+6.4%

 

Graham Pritchard

102

10.6%

-1.4%

Gareth Abbit

256

10.3%

-4.0%

 

Kenny Spain (Soc)

65

6.8%

+6.8%

Emmett Jenner

153

6.1%

+6.1%

 

Andrew Roberts

64

6.7%

+6.7%

Anna Martin

75

3.0%

-11.5%

 

Hilary Chrusciezl

41

4.3%

-2.6%

Michael Payne

35

1.4%

+1.4%

 

* Change from 2011

   

* Change from 2010

        

Bradwell & South Hopton (Great Yarmouth)

 

Park Hall (Mansfield)

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

 

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

Martin Plane (E)

557

49.6%

+3.4%

 

Ann Norman (E)

416

53.2%

-4.6%

Hilary Wainwright

407

36.2%

+0.3%

 

Linda Davidson (MIF)

164

21.0%

-14.3%

Colin Aldred

159

14.2%

+1.4%

 

Mark Quick

157

20.1%

+13.1%

* Change from 2011

    

Andrea Hamilton

25

3.2%

+3.2%

     

Fraser McFarland

20

2.6%

+2.6%

     

* Change from 2011

   

Bridge (Nottingham)

 

Eccles (Salford)

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

 

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-*

Michael Edwards (E)

1152

50.2%

-1.8%

 

Michael Wheeler (E)

1227

54.5%

-0.6%

Saghir Akhtar

892

38.9%

+2.7%

 

Nicholas Johnson

701

31.1%

+3.2%

Michael Illyas

172

7.5%

-4.3%

 

Kay Pollitt

147

6.5%

+6.5%

Andrew Taylor

50

2.2%

+2.2%

 

Valerie Kelly

125

5.5%

-0.7%

David Bishop (BPE)

27

1.2%

+1.2%

 

Alan Valentine

53

2.4%

+2.4%

* Change from 2011

    

* Change from 2011

   


 

Tom Harris

Thursday, 20 October 2011

By-Election Night Live: 20th October

Join us from the more usual time of 10.30pm for all of tonight's by-election action.


The Beauty of Democracy – Cokeham Style

As some of you will know, the sometime Britain-Votes contributor Kayleigh Lewis accompanied me to the count on Tuesday. She is a trainee journalist and so she came along for the 'experience'. Here is her take on the evening's events... TH

Tens (16) gathered on Tuesday night for the exhilarating climax of a hard fought campaign for the hearts and minds of Cokeham, Adur District Council. The ward is found in the tiny town of Sompting on the A27 somewhere between Brighton and Worthing but not particularly close to either.

Here the results were counted up in a small local church which smelt exactly like… a small local church.

There was no sign of the Green candidate. In fact I was asked by the Labour agent whether I was the Green candidate, which suggested that no-one knew who the Green candidate was……

However, there was somebody wearing a lot of green and masquerading as a potential Green candidate, but I wasn't fooled. This was just a regular guy in a green coat, green hat with a string around his chin and a generally outdoors-y appearance; he was actually a Labour member.

There were other
fashion faux pas on display throughout the evening, such as the far-out UKIP candidates, ablaze with yellow upon purple, a feast for the eyes if ever there were one. This did make a change from a sea (puddle in this case) of suits and corduroy

As things heated up a few more keen observers arrived, though they were mostly elderly and might have just spent a bit more time getting to the venue.

And there was still no sign of the Green candidate.

There was a flurry of excitement as the counters counted, I noticed the founder of Britain-Votes.co.uk on tippy-toes trying to get a better look at the 'action'. The only other person sitting, stood up, as if to suggest that the time was now and the end to this fascinating event was nearing.

Unfortunately he appeared to be mistaken.

The political throng fidgeted, restless, eager, whilst the counters continued to count, I remained seated, ambivalent at best. Bored, my gaze turned to the window sill where I noticed a box of lost property. A small pink fleece seemed to be trying to escape out of the window. I sympathised.

Then an announcement, the winner (I think); it was nothing like the movies suggested, and certainly no champagne moment, but a winner nonetheless (hurrah)! Nicholas Piggott was elected, the returning Conservative, there were just six votes in it but the Labour party seemed almost as happy, although (visibly) it was more relief than joy.

Meanwhile the LibDems were putting on a brave face after coming last, getting less votes than the Green candidate who I'm not even sure campaigned. UKIP were neither up nor down from last May so their snazzy ensembles clearly didn't win over the classy people of Cokeham ward.

So with all the fun over it was time to head home from my first, and possible last, by-election count.

Needless to say there was still no sign of the Green candidate.


 

Kayleigh Lewis

Kay is planning to provide a weekend slot on Britain-Votes.co.uk which will be a bit more light-hearted than our usual content. Naturally, most political blogs are written by people who are firmly inside the 'political bubble' (this one is, certainly!) so hopefully Kay will be able to offer something a bit different as an interested, but not engrossed, observer.

Tories squeak home in Sompting

In the unusual Tuesday by-election that took place earlier in the week the Conservatives were relieved to hang on to the Cokeham ward in Adur DC (West Sussex). It was the first count we had managed to attend since starting Britain-Votes and it may just have been my inexperience but I don't think those involved with the campaigns thought the result would be quite as close as it was.

The by-election was taking place following the death of Conservative Councillor Norman Wright. He had won his seat comfortably in 2008 but it would seem the presence of a UKIP candidate in 2010 reduced the Tories' majority.

Although they had come third in 2010 Labour were considered to be the Conservatives main challengers having held a seat in the ward as recently as 2006. Still, they required a 10.7% swing to take the seat which seemed a tall order.

Due to the late confirmation that we were able to attend (3pm on the afternoon) we hadn't done anywhere near as much groundwork with those involved in this by-election as we would have liked to (basically nothing after we'd tried and failed to get in contact with the campaigns).

The novelty of two strangers turning up to the count drew odd looks rather than inquisitive conversation but we did manage to glean some information out of the Labour agent. Having come over to ask if Kay was the Green candidate (which indicated they hadn't actually met the Green candidate) she revealed they were hoping for, but not expecting, a win.

It turned out they were just six votes behind the Conservatives, who were visibly relieved with Nicholas Pigott's narrow victory. Labour's perennial candidate in this ward Barry Mear will have high hopes of claiming victory in next year's election, although the low turnout (21.4%) will have surely helped his cause in this by-election.

UKIP's share of the vote remained virtually unchanged from last May's but the Liberal Democrat's suffered an alarming collapse in their support. Having beating Labour to second place in 2010 the Lib Dems fell to last place, behind even the Green candidate who no-one had ever met.

Thing's really haven't been going well for them locally as this poor result comes just days after one of their two Councillors in Adur was booted off the Council for poor attendance. It seems likely that the by-election will be scheduled to coincide with next May's elections given that the Tories complained
endlessly about this one being called and the Liberal Democrats will surely have no interest in another humiliating defeat.

The Conservatives currently hold all but three seats in Adur with the next partial Council elections due to take place next May.

Cokeham (Adur)

By-Election Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-

Nicholas Pigott (E)

288

39.6%

-1.9%

Barry Mear

282

38.8%

+18.7%*

David Bamber

91

12.5%

+0.7%

Jennie Tindall

35

4.8%

+4.8%

Cyril Cannings

31

4.3%

-22.4%

* Due to a mix up with his nomination papers Mear appeared without a description on the 2010 ballot paper


 

Tom Harris

Later this afternoon Kay will be posting her more light-hearted take on the evenings events.