Friday, 16 July 2010

Labour continue to gain seats in Council by-elections

Labour had another excellent night of by-election results yesterday as they gained two seats in top-tier Council polls and another on a District Council. They took seats off the Greens, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats as the latter are starting to see their low polling figures translate into poor by-election results. In Wales, Plaid Cymru failed to gain a seat on the Gwynedd County Council by just four votes and the Conservatives managed to hold a number of seats across England.

Bloxwich West provided the shock of the night a Labour easily gained a seat in what was considered solid Conservative territory. The by-election was called because of the death of Cllr. Melvin Pitt who secured a large majority when he won the seat in 2008. On those figures Labour needed a 18.3% swing to gain the seat, however they had faired much better in this years election to the ward. The Tories won the by just over 300 votes from Labour's Fred Westley, who was selected to contest this by-election. Despite losing the perceived advantage Labour enjoy with the higher General Election turnout, Cllr. Westley won the seat yesterday by a comfortable margin. It seems cuts to local services by the Conservative led Council and a poor campaign by the defending party helped Labour to a convincing victory.

Across the Midlands Labour were also celebrating in Leicester. For the second time in this Council's term the Greens were forced to defend the Castle ward against Labour and, again, they failed. Labour won one of the three seats in this ward in the 2007 full Council election and last September they gained another on a 6.9% swing. This time an 8% swing was more than enough to elect Cllr. Neil Clayton and Labour now have all three seats in the Castle ward to defend in next May's full Council election. There was also some bad news for the Liberal Democrats here as their vote dropped by 10% to leave them a distant fourth.

In Wales there was an interesting by-election in Diffwys & Maenofferen, Gwynedd as the sitting Councillor resigned following his arrest for attacking his wife. The defending party was Llais Gwynedd (The Voice of Gwynedd) and, despite the circumstances, they held off the challenge from Plaid Cymru. The Welsh Nationalists needed a swing of just over 4% to gain the seat and they fell four votes short as Cllr. Richard Lloyd Jones squeaked home. Plaid still run the Council as a minority administration with 35 of the 75 seats.

The Conservatives were defending Worplesdon on the Surrey County Council and they successfully held the seat. The Lib Dems were the nearest challengers but they failed to really trouble the newly elected Cllr. Nigel Sutcliffe as he won by 550 votes. The Tories enjoy a massive majority on the Council which isn't due for a full election until 2013.

In District by-elections Labour managed to gain a seat in the Riversway ward on the Preston City Council (Lancashire) from the Liberal Democrats. This was hardly a surprise as the Lib Dem who gained the seat in May didn't think he'd win then, which was part of the reason why he almost immediately resigned. In a more usual situation the Liberal Democrats comfortably held Corfe Mullen South on the East Dorset District Council. The Conservatives were defending three seats on District Councils and they easily held them all. They were Pirbright for the Guildford Borough Council (Surrey), Wheatley for the Rochford District Council (Essex) and Greater Marlow for the Wycombe District Council (Buckinghamshire).

There were two seats up for grabs on the Barnstaple Town Council (Devon) and the Liberal Democrats managed to take them both, holding one and gaining the other from an Independent. However, they lost a seat to the Conservatives on the Knaresborough Town Council (North Yorkshire) and two seats on the Bradfield Parish Council (South Yorkshire); one to an Independent and one to the Conservatives.

Walsall Metropolitan Borough Council

 

Leicester City Council

CON

LAB

LD

IND

DLP

 

LAB

CON

LD

IND

GRN

33

-1

18

+1

6

-

2

-

1

-

 

39

+1

8

-

6

-

1

-

0

-1

Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-%

 

Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-%

Fred Westley (E)

1142

53.6%

+36.1*

 

Neil Clayton (E)

766

38.2%

+11.7

Teresa Smith

800

37.5%

-16.6

 

Mo Taylor

625

31.1%

-4.4

Paul Valdmanis (UKIP)

91

4.3%

-6.5

 

Owen Jones

411

20.5%

+5.1

Christine Cockayne

71

3.3%

-0.5

 

Troy Lavers

150

7.5%

-10.7

Zoe Henderson

28

1.3%

+1.3

 

Roy Rudham (ED)

33

1.6%

+1.6

     

Gareth Henry

11

0.5%

-1.2

     

David Bowley

11

0.5%

+0.5


 

Gwynedd County Council

 

Surrey County Council

PC

IND

LG

LD

LAB

 

CON

LD

RA

IND

LAB

35

-

18

-

13

-

5

-

4

-

 

54

-

13

-

10

-

2

-

1

-

Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-%

 

Candidate

Votes

Vote %

+/-%

Richard Lloyd Jones (E)

185

50.5%

+1.2

 

Nigel Sutcliffe (E)

1844

53.6%

+5.1

Paul Thomas

181

49.5%

+8.4

 

Paul Cragg

1286

37.4%

+2.3

     

Mazhar Manzoor (UKIP)

193

5.6%

-6.6

     

Martin Phillips

78

2.3%

-1.9

     

John Morris (Peace Party)

39

1.1%

+1.1

* %Changes for the Bloxwich West by-election are from the 2008 results.

Wednesday, 14 July 2010

By-Election Preview (15th July)

Thursday's a busy night for local by-elections with four in top-tier Councils as well as five in non-metropolitan District Councils and a further five in Town and Parish Councils. Of the top-tier elections the one in Gwynedd is possibly the most interesting due to the bizarre circumstances that have led to it, but the Greens will need a good showing to hold on to the ward they're defending on Leicester City Council. The by-elections in Surrey and Walsall are for seats the Conservatives are defending.

So I'll start in Wales where Llais Gwynedd (The Voice of Gwynedd) will be defending the Diffwys & Maenofferen ward on the Gwynedd County Council. The by-election is being held because the sitting Councillor resigned following his arrest for attacking his wife. The ex-Councillor pleaded guilty and was sentenced to four and a half years in jail. This vote is very significant to the shape of the Council as it is currently run by a minority Plaid Cymru administration. Their group holds 35 of the 75 seats on the Council but they are in a very good position to gain this seat considering the circumstances. Plaid Cymru require a swing of just over 4% to take this ward and, as there is another vacancy on the Council, they would be just one vote short of a majority. The by-election to fill this other vacancy has not been arranged yet, and it will be harder for the Welsh nationalists to win, but they certainly had incentive to try and win tomorrow night.

Hot on the heels of the Green Party's by-election victory in Brighton last week they will be defending another Council seat, this time in Leicester. Sadly, this is due to the death of the sitting Councillor, Phil Gordon, who died on his other job as a tree surgeon. The Greens will be defending a majority of 9% which will be tough against a resurgent Labour Party. Last September there was a by-election to replace the other Green Councillor elected in 2007 as Matt Follett had to move because of work and family commitments. Labour managed a 6.9% swing to take the seat and they'll be looking for a similar result tomorrow.

In Surrey the death of the Conservative Cllr. Mike Nevins has led to a by-election for the Worplesdon Ward on the County Council. The Tories have a large majority on the Council with 54 of 80 seats. If Nigel Sutcliffe fails to defend the seat against the Liberal Democrats it will be nothing more than a moral blow. Paul Cragg was the Lib Dems' candidate in 2009 and he'll be attempting to gain the seat again tomorrow.

Finally, the Tories are also defending the Bloxwich West on the Walsall Council following the death of Cllr. Melvin Pitt. The ward is solidly Conservative so they shouldn't have much of a problem. Their majority on the Council isn't that solid as they hold 34 of the 60 seats. However, it's difficult to see where a successful challenge will come from so I expect the local Conservatives are not unduly worried.

Diff & Maef (Gwynedd)

 

Castle (Leicester)

Candidate

2008

 

Candidate

2007

Richard Lloyd Jones (LG)

49.3%

 

Mo Taylor (GRN)

35.5%

Paul Thomas (PC)

41.1%

 

Neil Clayton (LAB)

26.5%

N/C (LAB)

9.6%

 

Troy Lavers (LD)

18.2%

   

Owen Jones (CON)

15.4%

   

N/C (UKIP)

2.7%

   

Gareth Henry (LIB)

1.7%

   

David Bowley (IND)

-

   

Roy Rudham (ED)

-

     

Worplesdon (Surrey)

 

Bloxwich W (Walsall)

Candidate

2009

 

Candidate

2008

Nigel Sutcliffe (CON)

48.5%

 

Teresa Smith (CON)

54.1%

Paul Cragg (LD)

35.1%

 

Fred Westley (LAB)

17.5%

Mazhar Manzoor (UKIP)

12.2%

 

N/C (DLP)

13.8%

Martin Phillips (LAB)

4.2%

 

Paul Valdmanis (UKIP

10.8%

John Morris (Peace Party)

-

 

Christine Cockayne (LD)

3.8%

   

Zoe Henderson (GRN)

-


 

The following by-elections are also taking place tomorrow: Pirbright, Guildford Borough Council (Surrey); Corfe Mullen South, East Dorset District Council; Riversway, Preston City Council (Lancashire); Wheatley, Rochford District Council (Essex); Greater Marlow, Wycombe District Council (Buckinghamshire); Pilton and Central Town, Barnstaple Town Council (Devon); King James, Knaresborough Town Council (North Yorkshire); Worral and Oughtibridge, Bradfield Parish Council (South Yorkshire).

Monday, 12 July 2010

By-Election Watch (12/07/10)

Here's the current list. I'll preview for this week's on Wednesday.

Council

Type

Ward

Party

Reason

Date

Gwynedd

Wales

Diffwys and Maenofferon

Llais Gwynedd

Arrested

15th July

Leicester

Unitary

Castle

Greens

Death

15th July

Surrey

County

Worplesdon

Conservative

Death

15th July

Walsall

Metro.

Bloxwich West

Conservative

Death

15th July

Camden

London

Frognal and Fitzjohns

Conservative

Death

22nd July

Kensington & Chelsea

London

Holland

Conservative

Minister

22nd July

Rhondda Cynon Taff

Wales

Cymmer

Labour

Death

22nd July

Torbay

Unitary

St Mary's with Summercombe

Conservative

Death

22nd July

West Berkshire

Unitary

Thatcham South & Crookham

Lib Dem

Retired

22nd July

Wolverhampton

Metro.

Bilston North

Conservative

Death

29th July

Bath & North East Somerset

Unitary

Radstock

Independent

Death

29th July

Rotherham

Metro.

Sitwell

Conservative

Death

5th Aug

Medway

Unitary

River

Labour

MP

12th Aug

Chester East

Unitary

Alderley

Conservative

Death

TBA

Cumbria

County

Aspatria & Wharrels

Conservative

Death

TBA

Durham

County

Brandon

Labour

Death

TBA

Edinburgh

Scotland

Liberton/Gilmerton

Labour

MP

TBA

Gwynedd

Wales

Seiont

Independent

Death

TBA

Knowsley

Metro.

Park

Labour

Personal

TBA

Sheffield

Metro.

Woodhouse

Labour

Death

TBA

St Helens

Metro.

Billinge & Seneley Green

Labour

Death

TBA

West Sussex

County

Maidenbower

Conservative

MP

TBA