tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post5290273871464279698..comments2024-02-20T08:37:57.138+00:00Comments on Britain Votes: National Assembly Elections 2011: ConservativesBritain Voteshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00982679942856883673noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-79470905657175016692011-04-20T12:07:08.552+01:002011-04-20T12:07:08.552+01:00Aberconwy is the one to watch. Tory Candidate will...Aberconwy is the one to watch. Tory Candidate will pull a strong personal vote.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-14059302251876927742011-04-02T13:08:57.911+01:002011-04-02T13:08:57.911+01:00Let me make a prediction (and I'll happily tak...Let me make a prediction (and I'll happily take an evens wager for a modest sum with anyone on this one) - the Con-Lab swing will be greater in Cardiff North than in the Vale of Glamorgan - based on the General Election results.Penderynhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08856650274196529023noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-3761300262154888592011-04-02T10:44:19.593+01:002011-04-02T10:44:19.593+01:00As the national polls are suggesting a massive swi...As the national polls are suggesting a massive swing back to Labour compared with 2007, I am completely discounting the General Election results. It has been a long established fact that Westminster voting patterns and Assembly voting patterns are two distinct types of elections (Carmarthen West, Aberconwy and Llanelli are testament to that)Harry Hayfieldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07507866938834105572noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-78388558247439116322011-04-02T06:56:08.516+01:002011-04-02T06:56:08.516+01:00Hi Harry
How far do you think we should also cons...Hi Harry<br /><br />How far do you think we should also consider the General Election results? e.g. looking at only 2007 and the polls one would conclude that Cardiff North is a Tory lean but Vale of Glamorgan was in the safe Labour column. Taking into account the 2010 results, Cardiff North appears more difficult for the Tories (Too Close to Call or even Labour Lean), but the Vale possible. This isn't a point about the specific constituencies its about how far its worth considering the 2010 results.Penderynhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08856650274196529023noreply@blogger.com