tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post3543098796323206641..comments2024-02-20T08:37:57.138+00:00Comments on Britain Votes: Welsh Assembly : Harry's Final Forecast (You Gov)Britain Voteshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00982679942856883673noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-49544054660284190092011-05-05T08:37:00.568+01:002011-05-05T08:37:00.568+01:00I am not over estimating anything. I am just purel...I am not over estimating anything. I am just purely taking the regional vote shares (as reporting by YouGov) as my base. If anyone is over estimating anything it is YouGovHarry Hayfieldhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07507866938834105572noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-77512487342734351802011-05-04T22:35:10.706+01:002011-05-04T22:35:10.706+01:00Peter, didn't Labour do some kind of deal in 2...Peter, didn't Labour do some kind of deal in 2003, so that the DPO came from the opposition as well, so they had a majority? Or am I mistaken?<br /><br />Harry, I think you are over estimating the UKIP vote, I be very suprised if UKIP did well enough to become a group in the Assembly.Geraintnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-9369741324266326182011-05-04T21:42:58.642+01:002011-05-04T21:42:58.642+01:00My preference would be for Labour to take power an...My preference would be for Labour to take power and soldier on with a wafer-thin majority. The recent history of coalitions in Westminster and Cardiff has not been a positive one. <br /><br />What about a UKIP Presiding Officer? <br /><br />Do you think we'll ever have a referendum on whether to keep this curious regional seats system, where some people's votes count more than the votes of others?Gwilymnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5378450371118263133.post-44745191125061302332011-05-04T19:54:31.609+01:002011-05-04T19:54:31.609+01:00Under Assembly Standing Orders the Non-voting PO a...Under Assembly Standing Orders the Non-voting PO and the Non-voting DPO must come one from the govt side and one from the oppositio side. So if DET becomes PO again then Labour will have to supply the DPO thus ruling out the advantage you suggest. There is no Labour majority to be gained from putting Dafydd Elis Thomas back into the PO's chair if Labour get 30 seats.Peter Blackhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16370260756872929021noreply@blogger.com